Preliminary Assessment of the Impact of Conceptual Model Uncertainty on Site Performance
Performance assessment modeling for high-level radioactive waste (HLW) disposal incorporates three different types of uncertainty. These include data and parameter uncertainty, modeling...
Characterization Uncertainty and its Effects on Models and Performance
Geostatistical simulation is being used to develop multiple geologic models of rock properties at the proposed Yucca Mountain repository site. Because each replicate model contains the...
Uncertainty Analysis of Preclosure Accident Doses for the Yucca Mountain Repository
This study presents a generic methodology that can be used to evaluate the uncertainty in the calculated accidental offsite doses at the Yucca Mountain repository during the preclosure...
A High-Level Waste Repository Performance Assessment Methodology
This project was sponsored by the Electric Power Research Institute to examine methods that coordinate information from various disciplines to present an integrated perspective on the...
Risk-Cost Analysis Under Uncertainty for Dredged Material Management
Fuzzy Composite Programming is used to conduct a risk-cost trade-off analysis under uncertainty for a simplified dredge material disposal problem. Uncertainties inherent in the components...
Water Supply Uncertainties with Federal Permitting
Providing water in a semiarid region has historically been one of the most important responsibilities of government. This task was made more difficult by the uncertainties involved with...
Uncertainties in Planning Inter-Agency Water Supply Transfers
San Francisco Water Department, facing a possible fifth year of drought, purchased surplus water from the Placer County Water Agency and arranged for wheeling of the water through State...
Uncertainty in Urban Hydrologic Modeling
Uncertainty is pervasive in hydrologic modeling. Uncertainty is present in the formulation of the physical situation to be modeled, in the form of the model to be used, in the boundary...
Adaptive Control of Groundwater Hydraulics
Adaptive control has been extensively applied in industrial settings for the control of unknowns systems, systems with uncertainty in the parameters. The approach is recursive, the response...
Stochastic Seismic Response of Simple Structures
Since, at present, it is impossible to eliminate the various sources of uncertainty related to earthquake loading, it is necessary to better understand their effects on structural seismic...
An Expert System for Preliminary Ground Improvement Selection
Ground Improvement is an area which has rapidly advanced in the past two decades. Most of the work has resulted from experience in field work. Thus experience has played a vital role in...
Reliability Analysis for Time of Travel in Compacted Soil Liners
Time of travel through compacted soil liners is difficult to predict because numerous factors confound the analysis. In this paper, the influence of spatial variability and uncertainty...
Design Considerations for Control of Volatile Organic Compounds at Wastewater Treatment Facilities
New federal and state regulations require publicly owned treatment works (POTW's) to consider emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOC's) as potentially significant...
Unit Pricing and Unbalanced Bids
Unit price contracts were meant to provide a simple and equitable way to pay contractors. However, to offset the uncertainties inherent in construction, contractors unbalance bid items....
Hydroproject Risk Analysis
Traditionally, feasibility studies performed for potential hydropower sites have included either no uncertainty or at best an ad hoc value associated with estimated benefits. However,...
Probabilistic Analysis of Modernization Options
Benefit-cost analysis is a standard procedure for reaching planning decisions. Cost overruns and benefit shortfalls are also common occurrences. One reason for the difficulty of predicting...
Irrigation Delivery Design with Parameter and Objective Uncertainty
This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty in the design of hydraulic structures in an open-channel system for irrigation water delivery. Uncertainty due to ambiguity in the values...
Uncertainty in Pesticide Leaching Potential
Uncertainty in the pesticide leaching index AF is examined for the pesticides Atrazine and Diuron with attention to the contribution of temporal variability and estimation error in recharge....
Evaluating Probability Measures Related to Subsurface Flow and Transport: Overview of Technical Considerations and Modeling Philosophy
Probabilistic modeling approaches are being used increasingly in order to carry out quantified risk analysis and to evaluate the uncertainty existing in subsurface flow and transport analyses....
A Preliminary Evaluation of Model Uncertainty Given Parameter Sensitivity for Select Transport Codes
The ever-increasing use of mathematical models in groundwater management has raised concerns as to uncertainties associated with their abilities to simulate real-world pollution problems....
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